[Day 2473 2021-07-03]
Lesson 14-2 The Butterfly Effect
Suppose every sensor gives perfectly accurate readings oftemperature, pressure, humidity, and any other quantity a meteorologistwould want. Precisely at noon an infinitely powerful computer takes allthe data and calculates what will happen at each point at 12.01, then12.02, then 12.03..
The computer will still be unable to predict whether Princeton,New Jersey, will have sun or rain on a day one month away. At noon thespaces between the sensors will hide fluctuations that the computer willnot know about, tiny deviations from the average. By 12.01, thosefluctuations will already have created small errors one foot away. Soonthe errors will have multiplied to the ten- -foot scale, and so on up to thesize of the globe.
直接翻譯:
假設每個傳感器都能準確地讀出溫度、壓力、濕度和氣象學家想要的任何其他數值。在正午時分,一臺功能強大的計算機收集所有的數據,并計算出在每一點12.01、12.02、12.03時會發生什么。
計算機仍然無法預測普林斯頓新澤西州,將有太陽或雨的一天,一個月后。中午,傳感器之間的空間將隱藏計算機不知道的波動,與平均值的微小偏差。到12點01分,那些波動已經在一英尺外造成了小錯誤。不久,誤差就會成倍地增加到10英尺的范圍,如此類推,一直擴大到整個地球的大小。